"Bets are Off for 888.Com"
Investors following the online betting industry saw first hand the extreme
profits made by those that backed PartyGaming’s June flotation
on the London Stock Exchange. In contrast to what analysts were predicting
about PartyGaming’s flotation, backers of PartyGaming’s flotation
did quite well. They did far better, in fact, than anyone actually playing
at PartyGaming’s online gambling site.
Notably, most analysts had serious doubts about the wisdom of investing
in PartyGaming because of the great number of uncertainties associated
with the Internet gambling industry. In addition, many analysts still
hold doubts about whether it is wise to invest in PartyGaming or any
other online gambling business that is planning to go public because
of these uncertainties. The biggest problem, of course, lies with U.S.
policy regarding online gambling. The United States has declared online
gambling to be illegal and has applied pressure on companies that have
advertised for online gambling to cease their advertisements. The U.S.
Government has also pressured online payment companies (such as PayPal
and Citigroup) to stop processing payments for online gambling companies.
Another possible development that could prove problematic to existing
online gambling companies is a U.S. decision to regulate the industry.
A regulated industry would encourage rivals such as the big Las Vegas
operators, who have so far stayed out of the industry, to come in.
On the other hand, there are those who are more
optimistic about PartyGaming’s
continued success and the success of existing online gambling companies
that are preparing to go public. Cassava Enterprises, owner of 888.com,
Casino on the Net, and Pacific Poker, for example is hoping for a similar
success story when it goes public. While the prospectus for Cassava Enterprises
will not be issued until next month, indicators point to a considerable
discount to PartyGaming. The discount is largely a result of Cassava’s
much smaller size and slower growing casino operations, but all other
financial indicators create a positive outlook on Cassava’s planned
flotation. No doubt Cassava and other online gambling businesses are
betting on the status quo when it comes to U.S. policy and their lack
of action when it comes to enforcing that policy. In spite of U.S. efforts
to prevent advertisements for online gambling sites and prohibit payment
companies from processing payments for online gambling companies, there
have been no efforts to place an outright ban on the Internet gambling
companies and that doesn’t look like it’s about to change
any time soon. Thus, the size of the profits made from PartyGaming’s
flotation will likely tempt other investors into backing Cassava’s
flotation. Keep in mind though, that while the profits have
been phenomenal, if you are looking for long-term investments, the online
gambling industry is not the place to watching.
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